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FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: Projected scores and win probabilities for Week 4 of the 2026 season – FloridaHSFootball.com

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Matchup Projected Score Win Probability American Heritage (Plantation) vs. (1A) Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) American Heritage (Plantation) 36, Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 21 American Heritage (Plantation) 89.9% / Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 10.1% Atlantic (Delray Beach) vs. (1A) Pahokee Atlantic (Delray Beach) 31, Pahokee 26 Atlantic (Delray Beach) 70.3% / Pahokee 29.7% (3A) Baker County (Glen St. Mary) vs. Yulee Yulee 27, Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 24 Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 39.5% / Yulee 60.5% Barron Collier (Naples) vs. Golden Gate (Naples) Barron Collier (Naples) 26, Golden Gate (Naples) 22 Barron Collier (Naples) 64.5% / Golden Gate (Naples) 35.5% Bishop Moore (Orlando) vs. Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) Bishop Moore (Orlando) 40, Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) 15 Bishop Moore (Orlando) 98.1% / Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) 1.9% Blake (Tampa) vs. Jesuit (Tampa) Jesuit (Tampa) 55, Blake (Tampa) 11 Blake (Tampa) 0.1% / Jesuit (Tampa) 99.9% Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) vs. (OOS) Lowndes (GA) Lowndes (GA) 43, Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 8 Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 0.5% / Lowndes (GA) 99.5% (6A) Boone (Orlando) vs. Jones (Orlando) Jones (Orlando) 40, Boone (Orlando) 17 Boone (Orlando) 2.5% / Jones (Orlando) 97.5% Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) vs. Escambia (Pensacola) Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 25, Escambia (Pensacola) 14 Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 83.9% / Escambia (Pensacola) 16.1% Clearwater vs. St. Petersburg Clearwater 35, St. Petersburg 6 Clearwater 99.0% / St. Petersburg 1.0% Columbia (Lake City) vs. Ribault (Jacksonville) Columbia (Lake City) 44, Ribault (Jacksonville) 0 Columbia (Lake City) 99.9% / Ribault (Jacksonville) 0.1% Dunbar (Fort Myers) vs. Port Charlotte Port Charlotte 43, Dunbar (Fort Myers) 30 Dunbar (Fort Myers) 13.0% / Port Charlotte 87.0% East Bay (Gibsonton) vs. Hillsborough (Tampa) East Bay (Gibsonton) 34, Hillsborough (Tampa) 9 East Bay (Gibsonton) 97.8% / Hillsborough (Tampa) 2.2% Ed White (Jacksonville) vs. Riverside (Jacksonville) Ed White (Jacksonville) 46, Riverside (Jacksonville) 21 Ed White (Jacksonville) 97.9% / Riverside (Jacksonville) 2.1% Estero vs. Gulf Coast (Naples) Gulf Coast (Naples) 36, Estero 29 Estero 26.4% / Gulf Coast (Naples) 73.6% Fort Myers vs. Mariner (Cape Coral) Fort Myers 27, Mariner (Cape Coral) 15 Fort Myers 87.3% / Mariner (Cape Coral) 12.7% Gulf (New Port Richey) vs. Pasco (Dade City) Gulf (New Port Richey) 31, Pasco (Dade City) 8 Gulf (New Port Richey) 97.2% / Pasco (Dade City) 2.8% Gulf Breeze vs. Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 41, Gulf Breeze 0 Gulf Breeze 0.1% / Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 99.9% Kathleen (Lakeland) vs. Brandon Kathleen (Lakeland) 14, Brandon 5 Kathleen (Lakeland) 79.9% / Brandon 20.1% Lake Wales vs. Lake Region (Eagle Lake) Lake Wales 44, Lake Region (Eagle Lake) 4 Lake Wales 99.8% / Lake Region (Eagle Lake) 0.2% Lecanto vs. Gainesville Lecanto 30, Gainesville 5 Lecanto 97.8% / Gainesville 2.2% Leesburg vs. Vanguard (Ocala) Vanguard (Ocala) 45, Leesburg 0 Leesburg 0.1% / Vanguard (Ocala) 99.9% Legacy (Port St. Lucie) vs. Heritage (Palm Bay) Heritage (Palm Bay) 22, Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 3 Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 5.2% / Heritage (Palm Bay) 94.8% Leon (Tallahassee) vs. Arnold (Panama City Beach) Leon (Tallahassee) 22, Arnold (Panama City Beach) 21 Leon (Tallahassee) 51.3% / Arnold (Panama City Beach) 48.7% Miami Northwestern vs. (1A) Hawthorne Miami Northwestern 37, Hawthorne 33 Miami Northwestern 65.2% / Hawthorne 34.8% Middleton (Tampa) vs. Freedom (Tampa) Freedom (Tampa) 12, Middleton (Tampa) 11 Middleton (Tampa) 46.0% / Freedom (Tampa) 54.0% Milton vs. Fort Walton Beach Milton 23, Fort Walton Beach 14 Milton 80.6% / Fort Walton Beach 19.4% Miramar vs. Miami Norland Miami Norland 27, Miramar 16 Miramar 15.6% / Miami Norland 84.4% Mosley (Lynn Haven) vs. Chiles (Tallahassee) Mosley (Lynn Haven) 44, Chiles (Tallahassee) 20 Mosley (Lynn Haven) 97.7% / Chiles (Tallahassee) 2.3% Mount Dora vs. Lake Weir (Ocala) Mount Dora 22, Lake Weir (Ocala) 21 Mount Dora 54.1% / Lake Weir (Ocala) 45.9% Naples vs. Aubrey Rogers (Naples) Naples 36, Aubrey Rogers (Naples) 17 Naples 95.0% / Aubrey Rogers (Naples) 5.0% New Smyrna Beach vs. Winter Springs New Smyrna Beach 46, Winter Springs 7 New Smyrna Beach 99.8% / Winter Springs 0.2% Northeast (St. Petersburg) vs. Hollins (St. Petersburg) Northeast (St. Petersburg) 32, Hollins (St. Petersburg) 0 Northeast (St. Petersburg) 99.5% / Hollins (St. Petersburg) 0.5% Orange Park vs. Clay (Green Cove Springs) Clay (Green Cove Springs) 23, Orange Park 14 Orange Park 21.4% / Clay (Green Cove Springs) 78.6% Pinellas Park (Largo) vs. Osceola (Seminole) Pinellas Park (Largo) 26, Osceola (Seminole) 5 Pinellas Park (Largo) 96.2% / Osceola (Seminole) 3.8% Rickards (Tallahassee) vs. Lincoln (Tallahassee) Lincoln (Tallahassee) 28, Rickards (Tallahassee) 16 Rickards (Tallahassee) 14.2% / Lincoln (Tallahassee) 85.8% Ridgeview (Orange Park) vs. Fleming Island Fleming Island 36, Ridgeview (Orange Park) 3 Ridgeview (Orange Park) 0.7% / Fleming Island 99.3% River Ridge (New Port Richey) vs. Fivay (Hudson) River Ridge (New Port Richey) 32, Fivay (Hudson) 13 River Ridge (New Port Richey) 94.6% / Fivay (Hudson) 5.4% Sebastian River (Sebastian) vs. Jensen Beach Jensen Beach 40, Sebastian River (Sebastian) 0 Sebastian River (Sebastian) 0.1% / Jensen Beach 99.9% (6A) South Plantation vs. Plantation Plantation 38, South Plantation 3 South Plantation 0.5% / Plantation 99.5% St. Augustine vs. Middleburg St. Augustine 50, Middleburg 22 St. Augustine 98.7% / Middleburg 1.3% Zephyrhills vs. Springstead (Spring Hill) Zephyrhills 36, Springstead (Spring Hill) 12 Zephyrhills 97.7% / Springstead (Spring Hill) 2.3%

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